Working Capital Hub - Insights - Short-Term Cashflow Forecast

Summary of J.P. Morgan’s 2024 Working Capital Index

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Working Capital Hub's Point of View

As revealed in J.P. Morgan’s Working Capital Index 2024, S&P 1500 companies are facing an alarming slowdown in working capital efficiency – with the cash conversion cycle (CCC) stretching by 2.4 days, driven by rising Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) and Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO)

This has locked away roughly $707 billion in trapped liquidity, marking a painful 40 percent rise from pre‑pandemic levels.

Yet, hidden within these challenges lies a strategic opportunity. By optimizing receivables, inventories, and payables, corporates could unlock hundreds of billions in working capital -fueling growth, boosting resilience, and fortifying financial agility

Want the full picture?

Read J.P. Morgan’s Working Capital Index and explore all the findings

Access the report on JPM’s website below:

Introduction

J.P. Morgan’s Working Capital Index 2024 shows U.S. corporates are holding $707 billion in trapped cash, with the cash conversion cycle worsening by 2.4 days. 

Receivables and inventories are rising, while sectors like semiconductors, pharma, and oil & gas face mounting liquidity pressure. 

The study highlights a huge opportunity: by improving receivables, payables, and inventory, companies could free up hundreds of billions in working capital for growth and resilience.

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Key Take Aways

1. $707 Billion of Trapped Working Capital

  • S&P 1500 companies are sitting on an estimated $707 billion in excess working capital, a 40% increase compared to pre-pandemic levels.

2. Cash Conversion Cycle Is Worsening

The overall CCC increased by 2.4 days in 2023. This deterioration stems from:

  • DSO (Days Sales Outstanding) rising by 1.4 days
  • DIO (Days Inventory Outstanding) rising by 3.7 days
  • DPO (Days Payable Outstanding) rising by 2.7 days

3. Leading Industry Pain Points

Some industries saw dramatic CCC increases:

  • Semiconductors: +27.9 days
  • Oil & Gas (Upstream): +8.1 days
  • Software (Tech): +7.3 days
  • Pharma: +7.3 days

These shifts are driven by surplus inventory, extended payment terms, and normalization of demand.

4. Sector-Level Cash Constraints Amid Rising Capex

  • Despite the growing working capital lock-up, 64% of companies increased capital expenditures – including investments in AI/cloud, supply chain resilience, and renewable energy – putting further pressure on liquidity.

5. The Unlockable Opportunity

Moving up just one performance quartile could free:

  • $353B from inventory (DIO reduction)
  • $223B from faster collections (reducing DSO)
  • $130B from supplier payment optimization (adjusting DPO)

In total, over $707 billion could potentially be unlocked as free cashflow.

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Why These Insights Matter

  • Working capital remains a massive, under-leveraged asset – especially amid rising costs and economic uncertainty.
  • Industry-specific dynamics highlight where risks – and opportunities – lie.
  • Targeted working capital strategies can unlock vast liquidity for reinvestment, innovation, and growth.

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Suggested Next Steps

1. Benchmark Key Metrics

Compare your DSO, DIO, and DPO against leading peers and sector norms. 

Benchmarking highlights where you are lagging, quantifies the gap, and shows where the biggest improvement opportunities lie.

2. Prioritize Inventory and Receivables Optimization

Receivables and inventory are the largest sources of trapped cash.

By tightening collections and improving stock management, companies can unlock significant liquidity faster than by focusing only on payables

3. Align Capex with Cash Availability

With many firms increasing capital expenditure, aligning investment plans with available cash is critical. 

Optimizing working capital ensures that growth initiatives remain agile and don’t strain liquidity.

4. Tailor Actions to Sector Dynamics

Working capital challenges vary by industry – semiconductors, pharma, and oil & gas face especially high cash conversion cycles. 

Adapting strategies to sector-specific realities ensures more targeted and effective improvements.

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Author

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Alexander Flach
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